The ADX Oscillator's use in Technical Analysis
For
share traders it often said “the trend is the friend”. Finding the trend of the
stocks is the primary task of the trader or investor as this is the basic
condition in share market. The trend can be upwards or downwards. The investor
has to ascertain the trend of market and the stock. Once the trend is
identified the next questions are how strong the trend and the direction. This
becomes an important factor in trading because; it can reduce loss of money and
increase profits.
While
doing Technical analysis, there are many indicators available today to find the
trend of any market. The Average Directional Index or ADX in short is one of
them which has been described here.
The Formula for ADX is posted below
ADXi = [(ADX(i-1) * (n - 1)) + DXi] / n
where n = Smoothing Period
DX = [ 100 * ABS( (+DI) - (-DI) ) ] / ( (+DI) + (-DI) )
where n = Smoothing Period
DX = [ 100 * ABS( (+DI) - (-DI) ) ] / ( (+DI) + (-DI) )
The
ADX is an oscillator with values ranging from 0 to 100.depending on this value
we can determine the true strength of a stock. A range of 0-20 indicates the
absence of trend. 20-40 indicates the trend is very moderate. 40-70 range is considered
a strong trend. 70-100 indicates that the stock is extremely strong trend. A
stock may be in an uptrend, downtrend or in a sideways trend. The
characteristic of ADX is it does not take the sideways movement of price of a
stock as a trend.
Using ADX indicator
The basic
settings for ADX are simple and easy to remember. You may have noticed in the charts
ADX(14). This denotes the period for which the ADX has been plotted. The default
value of 14 is good and reasonable. Too long period can delay the entry points
and too short period may give too many buy sell signals which may not be
useful. The majority of traders would like to enter trade when the ADX rises above
20 to enter a trade. They also prefer to exit when the ADX falls below 40. Some traders prefer to use ADX along with
other indicators for entry and exit. I believe to exit a trade ADX is a good
tool, because ADX is primarily a trend indicator, and when a weak trend is
indicated it is good exit point.
In
a chart we come across the ADX displaying three lines, ADX +DI, -DI. The DI
means the Directional Index. When the +DI is above –DI we note the price is
moving up. When –DI above +DI the price moves downwards.
There
is one thing to remember here. Low ADX means the strength is weak and not the
trend has come to an end.
The
above chart explains the relationship of ADX and price action. Even during an
uptrend the ADX moves down indicating the uptrend has a weaker strength. The
ADX can show a weaker strength in a sideways market by moving down. We already
know that ADX ignores a sideways market. When the strength returns to the
market the ADX marks it with a higher value.
When ADX is lying below
20 and reverses, traders often see an opportunity for entry. When the ADX
crosses 25 comfortably it is a confirmation of the strength of the uptrend. This
could be even a breakout. Traders can wait till the 70 levels on the upper side
is reached and take a call to exit. Following the ADX oscillator could bring
immense benefits to a trader or investor, as loss can be minimized considerably.
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